Here is a sneak peak of what is coming to The Racing Post. My write up from the second day of La Prima Vera at Prima Vera.
The game of Blackjack yields many different odds. The
immediate House advantage is 0.5 - 8%, with the probability of hitting a natural
blackjack ~4.8%. Being dealt a hand of 16 is supposedly the worst hand in the
game. The odds of busting if you hit on 16 are 62%, but a dealer must stand 17
or higher, so the only way for you to win is for the dealer to bust, or take
your chances on hitting.
Everyone was working and rolling through nicely and
efficiently. It was going to be a long day. The second lap of the day was our
fastest, clocking in around 13:18. The group rolled nicely for the next 50
miles or so, a few groups coming tantalizingly close to connecting but never materializing.
I knew my two Mercy Cycling teammates would do all they could to either sit on
a move that bridged up to my group, or foil any attempts to do so by others.
At the top of the climb with somewhere around 5 laps to go,
our group saw Heath Blackgrove bridging solo. Naturally, his teammates waited and,
being in the situation I was in, waited as well. From here on out I just had to
judge my efforts and do enough work where Elbowz wouldn’t want to attack me out
of the group. Blackgrove was the ace in the hole that gave this early move the
power to avoid being caught, but at the same time, putting me in a bad
situation, 16.
The next few laps were smooth. I did not exactly know how to
handle the situation and began to ponder the odds of victory. There was little,
if no chance of winning. Today, I was sitting at a blackjack table facing four
dealers. The odds were in no way favorable to me.
With less than a lap to go I heard Blackgrove and Helmig
talking behind me, probably discussing how to annihilate me in the coming ~7 km
climb. On the climb, I decided to hit. I was going to gamble that I could drop
two of them on the climb. The dealer gave me a 3 and I am at 19. I attacked
about halfway up the climb and got a gap. Heath waited with Jewell and Helmig
on his wheel. I tried to put in another dig to separate Gonzalez as much as
possible. Blackgrove kept Elbowz organized and they caught me about 1.5km from
the top of the climb and powered past. Gonzales caught me, and later out
sprinted me to claim 4th place for his team. This was the point in the game
where Elbowz drew two face cards, solidly beating my 19. Elbowz went 1-4 on the
day and I gambled away a probable 4th place spot in exchange for a 5th. Elbowz
had an amazing ride. They are a strong, organized, respectable team with a lot
of skilled firepower. Congrats guys.
I would like to personally thank the Sponsors of Mercy Elite
Cycling. My first race on State wheels went amazing and the wheels were
super-fast. Trek Stores and Mercy Hospitals, thank you for your continued
support. Like our Facebook page!
Great write up, Colton!
ReplyDelete